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Qual 302016 Orlando Regional
Red84
406518.8
388030.7
136921.9
Blue77
365325.3
456221.1
495316.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801001208477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#6
30.71.8
24.9→26.7
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
red by 5.4
3653
#28
25.33.7
12.9→16.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Second
1369
#35
21.91.3
17.7→19.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.3
red by 0.8
4562
#30
21.13.7
13.5→17.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Third
4065
#58
18.81.8
15.2→17.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 2.2
4953
#45
16.73.7
17.2→20.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed