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Red52
541215.3
547227.6
129319.1
Blue62
174416.8
365325.3
581617.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848102030406070805262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#24
27.60.5
20.220.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End5.4
red by 2.3
3653
#28
25.31.3
16.617.8
Auto5.1
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Second
1293
#48
19.10.5
14.615.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 2.0
5816
#55
17.01.3
15.116.4
Auto2.5
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
5412
#46
15.30.5
12.713.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End3.2
blue by 1.4
1744
#49
16.81.3
14.015.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed