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Qual 392016 Orlando Regional
Red74
323311.1
152324.3
355630.6
Blue76
215227.3
393223.8
435222.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6055203040507080901007476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#14
30.61.8
21.6→23.4
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
red by 3.3
2152
#31
27.32.4
17.7→20.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Second
1523
#62
24.31.8
23.0→24.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 0.5
3932
#42
23.82.4
18.3→20.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
3233
#61
11.11.8
13.3→15.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.1
blue by 11.7
4352
#16
22.72.4
18.3→20.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed