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Qual 462016 Orlando Regional
Red40
324222.3
459218.3
355630.6
Blue76
456221.1
406416.9
23336.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666202040801001201404076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#14
30.62.6
23.4→20.8
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
blue by 6.2
233
#1
36.81.7
30.7→32.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
Second
3242
#25
22.32.6
20.3→17.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 1.2
4562
#30
21.11.7
16.2→17.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Third
4592
#17
18.32.6
19.9→17.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 1.4
4064
#56
16.91.7
13.9→15.6
Auto1.5
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed