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Red60
614518.5
316418.6
495316.7
Blue85
562811.3
187639.6
561619.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4969204060801006085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#50
18.60.1
14.814.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 21.0
39.61.1
37.638.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End12.3
Second
6145
#26
18.50.1
15.715.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.3
blue by 1.2
5616
#36
19.71.8
13.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4953
#45
16.70.1
20.120.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
red by 5.4
5628
#59
11.31.8
12.814.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed