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Qual 52016 Orlando Regional
Red52
350221.2
614518.5
547227.6
Blue22
279724.3
323311.1
456221.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565002040801001201401605222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#24
27.60.2
21.3→21.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End5.4
red by 3.3
2797
#52
24.33.1
17.8→14.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End4.6
Second
3502
#21
21.20.2
17.0→16.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End3.2
Level
4562
#30
21.13.1
17.1→14.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Third
6145
#26
18.53.1
18.5→15.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.3
red by 7.4
3233
#61DQ
11.13.1
14.7→11.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed