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Red112
584220.5
388030.7
187639.6
Blue47
406416.9
581617.0
402419.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78430206010012014016011247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.63.1
34.737.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End12.3
red by 20.1
4024
#34
19.50.6
15.915.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
30.73.5
20.023.5
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
red by 13.6
5816
#55
17.010.6
25.615.0
Auto2.5
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
5842
#29
20.55.7
24.919.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 3.6
4064
#56
16.90.6
15.815.2
Auto1.5
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed