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Red73
23336.8
136921.9
562811.3
Blue100
10818.1
402419.5
18036.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7363020408010012073100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
36.80.4
33.934.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
red by 0.5
180
#5
36.32.5
31.033.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
1369
#35
21.90.2
21.621.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.3
red by 2.5
4024
#34
19.52.5
15.417.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Third
5628
#59
11.30.4
14.314.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 6.8
108
#27
18.12.5
16.118.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed