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Red64
584220.5
393223.8
618419.9
Blue77
301119.1
490119.7
324222.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69500204060801001206477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#42
23.80.0
22.322.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End4.3
red by 1.5
3242
#25
22.32.3
19.221.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Second
5842
#29
20.50.0
20.920.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 0.7
4901
#43
19.71.4
16.618.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
6184
#39
19.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.1
End3.0
red by 0.8
3011
#57
19.12.3
15.517.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed