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Red96
2131.7
355630.6
572222.8
Blue82
155727.2
388030.7
527617.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080901009682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#15
31.73.0
27.130.1
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End10.5
red by 1.1
30.71.4
28.529.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
Second
3556
#14
30.63.0
23.126.1
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
red by 3.4
1557
#20
27.21.4
24.826.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Third
5722
#47
22.82.8
18.621.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 5.5
5276
#54
17.31.4
15.617.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed