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Red65
532920.5
524323.8
279722.1
Blue82
152327.8
450026.6
581923.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67792040601001201406582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#22
23.80.1
25.024.9
Auto10.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 4.0
1523
#12
27.80.2
27.227.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.0
Second
2797
#34
22.10.1
21.921.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
blue by 4.5
4500
#42
26.60.2
26.927.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
Third
5329
#28
20.50.2
20.119.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.3
blue by 3.1
5819
#24
23.60.2
20.620.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed