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Red73
451714.8
622523.5
541025.0
Blue107
547221.6
18040.4
106539.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50120010015020073107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#11
25.00.6
24.124.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.9
blue by 15.5
180
#5
40.40.0
42.242.2
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
6225
#27
23.51.0
20.121.1
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 15.5
39.00.0
38.838.8
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End4.2
Third
4517
#32
14.81.0
15.316.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 6.8
5472
#25
21.60.0
25.525.5
Auto9.5
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned