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Red70
447124.4
566517.6
34823.6
Blue102
125132.1
226522.9
175824.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6375204010012070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4471
#20
24.40.5
24.825.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End5.6
blue by 7.7
1251
#15
32.11.7
29.731.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Second
348
#47
23.60.5
22.022.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End5.5
blue by 1.2
1758
#33
24.81.7
20.822.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Third
5665
#52
17.60.8
16.116.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 5.3
2265
#39
22.91.7
20.522.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed