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Red91
69425.5
238333.7
38637.7
Blue95
323310.7
365333.0
14136.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105782040601201401609195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#17
37.70.4
36.736.2
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End5.6
red by 0.8
141
#8
36.91.0
38.739.7
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Second
33.70.4
35.034.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End6.4
red by 0.8
33.01.0
30.831.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.0
End5.0
Third
694
#36
25.50.4
26.125.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 14.8
3233
#53
10.71.0
10.011.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed