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Red51
594916.3
14136.9
10817.1
Blue134
125132.1
152327.8
17947.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731175010015051134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#8
36.91.8
39.738.0
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End4.3
blue by 10.7
179
#2
47.61.5
50.051.4
Auto10.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
Second
108
#43
17.11.8
18.817.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 15.1
1251
#15
32.11.5
30.732.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Third
5949
#57
16.32.5
18.916.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 11.5
1523
#12
27.81.5
26.327.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned