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Red69
450026.6
587217.1
226522.9
Blue84
355635.7
2133.4
323310.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66852040601001201406984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#42
26.60.1
27.527.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
blue by 9.1
3556
#19
35.70.4
34.734.3
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End4.3
Second
2265
#39
22.90.1
22.722.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 10.5
21
#29
33.40.4
33.733.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End11.5
Third
5872
#40
17.10.1
17.017.1
Auto2.8
Teleop11.5
End2.9
red by 6.4
3233
#53
10.70.4
11.110.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed