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Red56
164831.5
418836.9
334412.0
Blue37
100223.6
617717.4
360019.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106752040601201401605637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.8
37.837.0
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 13.4
1002
#14
23.60.6
24.824.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Second
31.50.8
32.431.6
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 11.7
3600
#16
19.90.6
21.120.5
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Third
3344
#25
12.00.8
12.411.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 5.4
6177
#13
17.40.6
18.718.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5