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Red65
584818.2
573419.4
565114.7
Blue75
164831.5
363522.1
582817.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4678020601001206575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5734
#22
19.40.7
18.218.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 12.1
31.50.3
32.132.4
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
Second
18.20.7
18.619.3
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 3.9
22.10.3
21.221.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
Third
5651
#21
14.70.7
12.313.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 2.9
5828
#19
17.60.3
17.417.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed