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Red99
402625.9
363522.1
573419.4
Blue90
553618.6
309125.3
582817.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87724060801001209990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
25.625.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 0.5
25.30.2
25.125.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Second
22.10.2
21.822.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
red by 3.5
5536
#20
18.60.2
18.418.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Third
5734
#22
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 1.8
5828
#19
17.60.2
17.417.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9