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Red137
332924.8
126137.4
565114.7
Blue91
494118.9
358128.3
423510.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966520408012014016013791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.4
35.936.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.9
End5.3
red by 9.1
28.30.3
27.928.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
24.80.4
23.223.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 5.9
4941
#17
18.90.3
18.518.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
5651
#21
14.70.4
13.213.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
red by 4.1
4235
#24
10.70.3
10.210.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7