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Red104
402625.9
363522.1
573419.4
Blue50
553618.6
309125.3
582817.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857340608010012010450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
25.325.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 0.5
25.30.3
25.425.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Second
22.10.3
21.521.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
red by 3.5
5536
#20
18.60.3
18.718.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Third
5734
#22
19.40.3
18.919.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 1.8
5828
#19
17.60.3
17.717.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9