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Red120
164831.5
418836.9
47307.8
Blue98
402625.9
363522.1
573419.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9982406012014016012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.0
37.437.5
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 11.1
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Second
31.50.0
32.032.1
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 9.5
22.10.3
21.822.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
Third
4730
#23
7.80.0
8.38.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 11.6
5734
#22
19.40.3
19.219.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6