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Red61
494118.9
358128.3
423510.7
Blue90
470118.9
584818.2
529321.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648220401001201406190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.2
27.027.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 6.9
5293
#15
21.50.2
22.722.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
Second
4941
#17
18.90.2
17.617.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Level
4701
#11
18.90.2
20.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
4235
#24
10.70.2
9.49.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 7.5
18.20.2
19.319.5
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5