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Red90
494118.9
358128.3
423510.7
Blue64
470118.9
584818.2
529321.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483401001209064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.3
27.227.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 6.9
5293
#15
21.50.0
22.822.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
Second
4941
#17
18.90.3
17.818.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Level
4701
#11
18.90.0
20.220.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
4235
#24
10.70.3
9.59.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 7.5
18.20.0
19.519.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5