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Red92
494118.9
358128.3
423510.7
Blue0
470118.9
584818.2
529321.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66830204060100120920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.4
27.527.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 6.9
5293
#15
21.51.4
22.921.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
Second
4941
#17
18.90.4
18.118.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Level
4701
#11
18.91.4
20.218.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
4235
#24
10.70.4
9.910.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 7.5
18.21.4
19.618.2
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5