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Red102
418836.9
358128.3
573419.4
Blue47
582817.6
334412.0
332924.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5930020408010012010247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.9
29.231.2
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 12.1
24.80.6
9.810.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
28.31.9
12.514.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 10.7
5828
#19
17.60.6
15.916.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
5734
#22
19.41.9
11.213.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 7.4
3344
#25
12.00.6
7.68.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned7%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed