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Red10
565114.7
100223.6
47307.8
Blue49
617717.4
584818.2
424018.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30360102040506070801049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#14
23.62.3
18.916.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 5.2
4240
#12
18.41.0
9.610.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Second
5651
#21
14.71.4
4.02.7
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 3.4
18.21.0
7.78.7
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
4730
#23DQ
7.81.4
7.56.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 9.6
6177
#13
17.41.0
16.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed