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Red80
164831.5
418836.9
470118.9
Blue73
358128.3
494118.9
309125.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8643020601001201401608073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.2
31.832.0
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 8.6
28.31.3
16.718.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
31.50.2
27.828.0
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 6.2
25.31.3
18.119.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Third
4701
#11
18.90.2
17.417.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Level
4941
#17
18.91.3
13.214.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned17%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed