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Red45
613914.4
565114.7
402625.9
Blue47
423510.7
573419.4
363522.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060801004547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.5
20.521.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 3.8
22.10.4
16.817.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
Second
5651
#21
14.70.5
6.06.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 4.7
5734
#22
19.40.4
15.015.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Third
6139
#18
14.40.5
11.211.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 3.7
4235
#24
10.70.6
10.010.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed