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Red54
584017.7
47307.8
164831.5
Blue82
418836.9
332924.8
100223.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46730204060801001205482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.3
28.028.3
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
blue by 5.4
36.91.0
32.033.0
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
Second
5840
#10
17.70.3
15.015.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 7.1
24.81.0
13.314.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Third
4730
#23
7.80.3
5.86.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 15.8
1002
#14
23.61.7
21.823.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed