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Red40
423510.7
584818.2
582817.6
Blue64
363522.1
309125.3
529321.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326402040801001204064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.3
11.311.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 7.2
25.30.1
19.419.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Second
5828
#19
17.60.3
14.214.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 4.5
22.10.1
17.217.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
Third
4235
#24
10.70.4
10.511.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 10.8
5293
#15
21.50.1
20.620.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed