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Red77
358128.3
613914.4
584818.2
Blue69
494118.9
332924.8
424018.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464910203040607080907769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.8
19.321.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 3.5
24.81.5
16.517.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
18.21.8
12.614.4
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 0.7
4941
#17
18.91.5
17.018.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
6139
#18
14.41.8
12.814.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 4.0
4240
#12
18.41.5
13.314.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned14%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed