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Red77
418836.9
402625.9
582817.6
Blue38
470118.9
100223.6
584017.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75602040801001207738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.4
33.533.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 13.4
1002
#14
23.62.5
25.322.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Second
25.90.4
22.322.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 7.0
4701
#11
18.91.5
18.917.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
5828
#19
17.60.4
14.514.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 0.1
5840
#10
17.71.5
16.314.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed