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Red81
126137.4
363522.1
553618.6
Blue65
164831.5
573419.4
423510.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71500204060801001208165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.4
31.031.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.9
End5.3
red by 5.9
31.50.9
28.028.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
Second
22.10.4
19.419.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
red by 2.6
5734
#22
19.40.9
17.017.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Third
5536
#20
18.60.6
15.115.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.4
End3.0
red by 8.0
4235
#24
10.71.5
6.47.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed