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Red59
360019.9
470118.9
582817.6
Blue89
47307.8
332924.8
358128.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514702060801001201401605989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3600
#16
19.90.6
16.717.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.3
blue by 8.5
28.31.9
21.123.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
4701
#11
18.90.3
17.417.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 5.9
24.81.9
17.919.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Third
5828
#19
17.60.3
14.915.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 9.8
4730
#23
7.81.9
7.19.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed14%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed