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Red90
360019.9
100223.6
126137.4
Blue25
47307.8
613914.4
470118.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703402060801001201409025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.8
26.528.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.9
End5.3
red by 18.6
4701
#11
18.90.9
18.217.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
1002
#14
23.63.1
16.719.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 9.2
6139
#18
14.40.9
14.413.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
3600
#16
19.93.1
19.322.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.3
red by 12.1
4730
#23
7.80.9
6.15.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed