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Red87
332924.8
164831.5
402625.9
Blue39
423510.7
494118.9
529321.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801001201408739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.5
24.626.0
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 10.1
5293
#15
21.50.9
19.318.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
Second
25.91.5
20.121.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 7.0
4941
#17
18.90.9
13.112.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
24.81.5
10.411.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 14.1
4235
#24
10.71.5
15.313.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed