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Red110
174646.3
446838.8
581219.9
Blue114
474929.9
548231.3
131126.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421036080120160180200220110114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.3
46.446.0
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 15.0
5482
#10
31.30.2
30.831.0
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
38.80.3
38.938.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 8.9
4749
#31
29.90.2
29.529.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
Third
5812
#24
19.90.3
19.919.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End3.8
blue by 6.5
1311
#20
26.30.2
25.926.1
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3