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Red149
174646.3
446838.8
581219.9
Blue153
297440.5
402633.4
491032.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371266080100160180200220149153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.0
46.246.2
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 5.8
2974
#17
40.50.1
39.739.8
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
38.80.0
38.738.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 5.4
33.40.1
32.632.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Third
5812
#24
19.90.0
19.819.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End3.8
blue by 12.5
4910
#14
32.40.1
31.531.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8