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Red126
164832.2
533235.2
411219.9
Blue142
297440.5
402633.4
491032.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041336080120160180200126142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
34.935.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
blue by 5.3
2974
#17
40.50.2
40.139.9
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
1648
#27
32.20.3
31.932.3
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
blue by 1.2
33.40.2
33.032.8
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Third
4112
#11
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 12.5
4910
#14
32.40.2
31.931.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8