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Red129
241544.8
126141.6
451624.3
Blue123
560834.2
418842.0
177131.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213280100120160180129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.3
45.745.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 2.7
42.00.1
41.941.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Second
41.60.3
42.642.3
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 7.5
5608
#16
34.20.1
34.134.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Third
4516
#18
24.30.3
25.224.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 7.1
1771
#23
31.40.1
31.331.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0