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Red104
164832.2
533235.2
411219.9
Blue145
297440.5
402633.4
491032.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051326080120140160180200104145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.1
35.335.2
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
blue by 5.3
2974
#17
40.50.2
39.939.7
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
1648
#27
32.20.1
32.332.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
blue by 1.2
33.40.2
32.832.6
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Third
4112
#11
19.90.1
19.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 12.5
4910
#14
32.40.2
31.831.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8