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Red144
241544.8
126141.6
451624.3
Blue135
560834.2
418842.0
177131.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141132100120160180144135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.0
45.445.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 2.7
42.00.2
41.842.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Second
41.60.0
42.342.3
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 7.5
5608
#16
34.20.2
34.034.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Third
4516
#18
24.30.0
24.924.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 7.1
1771
#23
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0