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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Peachtree District State Championship
Red170
241544.8
126141.6
451624.3
Blue137
360031.8
513231.6
563233.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441176080100160180200170137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#6
44.80.0
45.7→45.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 11.6
5632
#19
33.10.1
33.2→33.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
1261
#3
41.60.0
42.6→42.6
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 9.8
3600
#32
31.80.1
31.9→31.8
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
Third
4516
#18
24.30.0
25.2→25.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 7.3
5132
#9
31.60.1
31.7→31.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9