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Red56
553629.6
332926.5
358126.3
Blue104
560834.2
418842.0
177131.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104141608012016018020022056104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5536
#12
29.60.8
31.130.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 12.5
42.00.1
42.542.4
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Second
26.50.8
28.127.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
blue by 7.7
5608
#16
34.20.1
34.634.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Third
3581
#13
26.30.8
27.927.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
blue by 5.1
1771
#23
31.40.1
31.931.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0