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Red86
358126.3
408026.3
494123.6
Blue81
360031.8
126141.6
451624.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691030501508681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3581
#13
26.30.9
27.828.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
blue by 15.3
41.60.9
40.039.1
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
4080
#21
26.30.9
24.225.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 5.5
3600
#32
31.80.9
30.129.2
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
Third
4941
#25
23.60.9
19.820.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
blue by 0.7
4516
#18
24.30.9
25.024.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed