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Red91
418928.9
177131.4
332926.5
Blue70
83227.6
617719.0
241544.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84910501502009170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#23
31.40.5
31.031.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
blue by 13.4
44.81.2
41.540.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
4189
#15
28.90.5
25.926.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 1.3
832
#38
27.61.2
29.428.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
Third
26.50.5
26.126.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
red by 7.5
6177
#29
19.01.2
16.915.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed