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Red81
174646.3
332926.5
408026.3
Blue78
533235.2
494123.6
297440.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95958085901001058178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.7
40.439.6
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 5.8
2974
#17
40.50.9
39.939.0
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
26.50.7
26.625.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
blue by 8.7
35.20.9
31.230.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Third
4080
#21
26.30.7
25.224.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 2.7
4941
#25
23.60.9
20.819.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed