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Red107
491032.4
560834.2
402633.4
Blue103
164832.2
177131.4
548231.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94948590100105107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5608
#16
34.20.4
28.929.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
red by 2.0
1648
#27
32.20.8
30.631.4
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
33.40.4
28.028.4
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
red by 2.0
1771
#23
31.40.8
31.532.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
Third
4910
#14
32.40.4
34.735.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
red by 1.1
5482
#10
31.30.8
29.129.9
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned