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Red84
411219.9
297440.5
126141.6
Blue96
402633.4
548231.3
446838.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961000501502008496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.6
40.740.1
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 2.8
38.80.1
38.238.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
Second
2974
#17
40.50.6
37.937.3
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
red by 7.1
33.40.1
28.428.3
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Third
4112
#11
19.90.6
15.014.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 11.4
5482
#10
31.30.1
30.330.2
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned